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Prediction markets vs. polling: the new frontier of political prognostication

As prediction markets’ popularity has surged, more voters than ever are beginning to factor market forecasts into thinking about their election choices. The tools measure two different things: likelihood and preference.

Republican Ledger staff · 8:00 PM ET

Prediction markets vs. polling: the new frontier of political prognostication
The Republican Ledger

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As prediction markets’ popularity has surged, more voters than ever are beginning to factor market forecasts into thinking about their election choices. The tools measure two different things: likelihood and preference.

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